02-27-2021, 01:34 PM
(02-27-2021, 01:19 PM)David Horn Wrote:(02-27-2021, 11:35 AM)Bob Butler 54 Wrote: I have made my predictions often enough. The old values fade. A few nuts keep ranting. Come the high, no one will tolerate having to listen.
I almost passed this by, but caught myself at the exit. Yes, the 1T will be as rigid as the 3T was loosey-goosey. Given the pattern of victors claiming the spoils, the next 2T is the soonest we can expect a real counter to the 4T-climax/1T-paradigm. What that will be is still TBD, because the final result of the 4T is still in the wings. I don't know if Biden has it in him to drive the 4T to a dramatic end. He may falter and is likely to be a one-termer in any case. I don't see Kamala Harris lighting a huge fire either, and a challenger for 2024 is invisible for now. W-a-y too many variables here!
I think you are right. We are going to have January 6, and no longer 9/11, as the shocker. For two centuries we have had the assumption that coups do not happen in America. One just did. We are going to have an analysis of why the insurrection was possible, and that will boil down to right-wing extremism and irrationality. This is not to say that we are going to end up treating "Coup-Anon" much like the PRC treats the Falun Gang, but we are going to start treating craziness in politics as trouble.
I have no idea of the level of support that the coup is. That is very different from supporting the agenda of Donald Trump but not his attempted self-coup.
I live in Michigan... and we have had an ugly plot against the Governor. I'm guessing that we start seeing elections as definitive no matter how they went.
The ideal subject of totalitarian rule is not the convinced Nazi or the dedicated Communist but instead the people for whom the distinction between fact and fiction, true and false, no longer exists -- Hannah Arendt.