03-29-2019, 12:53 PM
To Trump or not to Trump, as I put it, with apology to the Bard:
![[Image: genusmap.php?year=1964&ev_c=1&pv_p=1&ev_...&NE3=0;1;6]](https://uselectionatlas.org/TOOLS/genusmap.php?year=1964&ev_c=1&pv_p=1&ev_p=1&type=calc&AL=0;;6&AK=0;;4&AZ=1;;2&AR=0;;6&CA=0;;6&CO=0;;5&CT=0;;5&DE=0;;5&DC=0;;9&FL=1;;7&GA=0;;5&HI=0;;7&ID=0;;6&IL=0;;5&IN=0;;5&IA=0;;5&KS=0;;5&KY=0;;6&LA=0;;5&MD=0;;6&MA=0;;6&MI=1;;7&MN=0;;4&MS=0;;5&MO=0;;5&MT=0;;5&NV=1;;5&NH=0;;5&NJ=0;;5&NM=0;;5&NY=0;;6&NC=1;;7&ND=0;;5&OH=0;;5&OK=0;;6&OR=0;;5&PA=1;;7&RI=0;;6&SC=0;;5&SD=0;;5&TN=0;;5&TX=1;;2&UT=0;;7&VT=0;;6&VA=0;;5&WA=0;;5&WV=0;;6&WI=1;;7&WY=0;;6&ME=0;;5&ME1=0;1;5&ME2=0;1;5&NE=0;;5&NE1=0;1;5&NE2=0;1;5&NE3=0;1;6)
50% or more against Trump, margin 9% or higher
50% or more against Trump, margin 5% to 8%
50% or more against Trump, margin 4% or less
The usual margin of error is 4%, and twice that is not close.
I have yet to see any state poll asking such a question as "Do you want to re-elect Donald Trump or do you want someone else?" or "Do you plan to vote for Trump or for the Democratic nominee?" in which this question comes back positively -- yet. This is different from approval, probably suggesting that one likes the results even if one despises the President. Opposing Trump may not mean that one has fallen in love with liberalism; it may mean that one would rather have some different expression of conservatism as President.
50% or more against Trump, margin 9% or higher
50% or more against Trump, margin 5% to 8%
50% or more against Trump, margin 4% or less
The usual margin of error is 4%, and twice that is not close.
I have yet to see any state poll asking such a question as "Do you want to re-elect Donald Trump or do you want someone else?" or "Do you plan to vote for Trump or for the Democratic nominee?" in which this question comes back positively -- yet. This is different from approval, probably suggesting that one likes the results even if one despises the President. Opposing Trump may not mean that one has fallen in love with liberalism; it may mean that one would rather have some different expression of conservatism as President.
The ideal subject of totalitarian rule is not the convinced Nazi or the dedicated Communist but instead the people for whom the distinction between fact and fiction, true and false, no longer exists -- Hannah Arendt.