02-14-2019, 04:00 PM
(This post was last modified: 02-14-2019, 04:01 PM by Eric the Green.)
(02-14-2019, 03:23 PM)David Horn Wrote: Any result that isn't overwhelming is a defeat for both sides. The cross-party animosity is too brutal to allow anything more than stalemate unless one party or the other dominates in 2020. I don't see the GOPpers pulling that off again, but I can't feel fully confident that the Dems can either.
On another topic, we have Peter Buttigieg, the mayor of South Bend Indiana. This guy is the real deal, but he's only 37 and starting from a mayor's slot is long pull to the Presidency. On the plus side, he's whip smart: Harvard grad and Rhodes Scholar, Afghanistan veteran, speaks several languages, thinks on his feet and is courageous. He's also gay, so he's a nearly perfect Millennial. He has the best defense of the Green New Deal I've ever heard … period.
Yes, I don't see a breakthrough likely right after the 2020 election. I think the Dems could start to get the upper hand in the following 2 or 3 years. How that happens exactly depends on whether the Democrats nominate another loser. If so, I expect Trump will win and then self-destruct, in the 2022 midterms if not before. Impeachment and conviction seems likely in 2021, and if not, 6th year midterms are usually a tsunami against the party in power. Imagine one against Trump; it will be titanic.
If McAuliffe or Landrieu or one of the other 3 marginal candidates win, then they will still have a filibuster-proof senate to deal with, as well as the federal Courts, but perhaps the dems will do away with these blocks, and then Katy bar the door on both sides in the future. At least the blues will get the ball rolling on reform in that case quite early, or otherwise in 2023 or 2025, and the reds like Classic Xer will resist, maybe violently by 2025-- afraid their guns will be taken away and their taxes raised to support non-white "freeloaders."
We are not free of foreign troubles either. We bungled the mess in the Middle East, with the Iraq invasion and then the failure to support Syrian free rebels. Now another war in Kurdistan is just about inevitable at the end of 2020, and that will lead to more terrorist attacks and/or fear of same, the Islamic State reappearing, and gradual re-involvement, and the USA will be fully back into the mess again by 2025.